The Rendon Group Snapshot Report
Each week The Rendon Group’s media analysts will focus on a different continent and a different issue affecting that continent. As always, we remain available to answer any questions you may have and to provide additional information upon request. For more information regarding The Rendon Group’s products and services, please contact us at Alert@Rendon.com or +1-202-745-4900.
Japan and US military ties strengthened
This week’s snapshot report focuses on the recent developments regarding the agreement between Japan and the US to strengthen their alliance to address regional security issues such as the threat from North Korea’s missile program and China’s active role in the region. The agreement includes, among other provisions, the deployment of surveillance drones in Japan to keep an eye on activity around disputed waters and island chains.
News Summary of events relating to the Japan and US defense ties during week of 30SEP-06OCT
Sample of Twitter handles regarding Japan and US defense ties
Sample of Third Party Validators regarding Japan and US defense ties
Richard Fisher, China Military Affairs Expert, International Assessment and Strategy Center
“In 2013, it is Tokyo that is seeking assurance of support from Washington now that China is militarily challenging Japan’s control over the Senkaku Islands.” – US, Japan to Upgrade Defense Ties, Washington Free Beacon, 04OCT.
Scott Seaman, Senior Analyst – China and Japan, Eurasia Group
“[the agreement between Japan and the US] is not going to be something seen in a very positive light in China.” – U.S. and Japan Agree to Broaden Military Alliance, New York Times, 03OCT.
Koji Murata, President, Doshisha University – Kyoto
“There will be a grave impact on the U.S.’s relationship with Asia-Pacific nations if it continues to slash military spending and face fiscal uncertainties, there is a level of doubt in Japan” – Kerry, Hagel Underline U.S. Commitment to East Asia, Wall Street Journal, 03OCT
Toshihiro Nakayama, Professor of International Relations, Aoyama Gakuin University – Tokyo
“If we look at the reality, such as what’s been happening in Syria, it seems the U.S. continues to get snared into the Middle East; at the same time, it faces resistance from its domestic audience about making external commitments” – Kerry, Hagel Underline U.S. Commitment to East Asia, Wall Street Journal, 03OCT
Carl Thayer, Professor Emeritus, Australian Defense Force Academy
“For countries not closely allied with the U.S., Obama’s no-show will reinforce their policy of bandwagoning with China” – As Obama’s Asia ‘pivot’ falters, China steps into the gap, Reuters, 06OCT
Sample of open source research conducted by TRG analysts related to developing Japan and US defense ties
1. Japan, U.S. to revise accord on Marine transfer from Okinawa
Media: Kyodo (Japan)
Date: 30 September 2013
TOKYO, Sept. 30 — (Kyodo) _ Japan and the United States plan to give the go-ahead at a ministerial meeting this week to revise a bilateral accord on the envisioned realignment of U.S. Marine Corps personnel stationed in Okinawa, government officials said Sunday.
The planned revision of the so-called Guam Agreement codifying the Marine transfer from Okinawa to Guam followed a review in April last year of the transformation of U.S. forces stationed in Japan that led to cuts in the number of U.S. Marine Corps personnel to be relocated from the island prefecture to the U.S. territory to about 4,000 from an initially envisaged 8,000.
Of an estimated $8.6 billion in costs for projects such as relocating Marines and their dependents, and building runways and facilities in Guam and neighboring islands in the Pacific with an eye on future joint exercises between U.S. and Japanese forces, Japan will maintain its share of up to $2.8 billion, the officials said.
2. Japan, U.S. defense minister meet on cyber security cooperation
Media: Xinhua (China)
Date: 02 October 2013
TOKYO, Oct. 3 (Xinhua) — Japanese Defense Minister Itsunori Onodera and his visiting U.S. counterpart Chuck Hagel met Thursday here on further cooperating over fighting against cyber attacks and training relevant personnel, according to local media.
The two defense chiefs are expected to agree on establishing a bilateral framework to discuss means to counter cyber attacks on government branches and other organizations, reported Japan’s Kyodo News, citing government officials as saying.
The ministers will also likely to cover the issue of reducing burden on Japan’s Okinawa of hosting U.S. military bases, including an early return of land and facilities south of the U.S. Kadena Air base.
Continue Reading: http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/world/2013-10/03/c_132769856.htm
3. US, Japan to deploy new radar, drones in next year
Media: Associated Press
Byline: Matthew Lee
Date: 03 October 2013
TOKYO (AP) — U.S. and Japanese officials said Thursday they will position a second early-warning radar in Japan within the next year and deploy new long-range surveillance drones to help monitor disputed islands in the East China Sea by next spring, moves that may well raise tensions again with China.
The foreign and defense ministers of the two countries also, for the first time, put a price on what Japan will contribute to the relocation of Marines out of Okinawa to Guam and other locations in the Asia-Pacific region. Japan will pay up to $3.1 billion of the move, which includes development of new facilities in Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands.
4. Japan, US tell China to stick to “international norms of behavior”
Media: Deutsche Presse-Agentur (DPA)
Date: 03 October 2013
Tokyo (dpa) – Foreign and defence chiefs of Japan and the United States met Thursday and urged China to adhere to “international norms of behavior.”
The ministers said China should “play a responsible and constructive role in regional stability and prosperity,” according to a statement issued after their talks.
US Secretary of State John Kerry, Defence Secretary Chuck Hagel, Japanese Foreign Minister Fumio Kishida and Defense Minister Itsunori Onodera attended the two-plus-two meeting.
5. China voices concerns about modernizing U.S.-Japan defense alliance
Media: Yonhap (South Korea)
Date: 05 October 2013
BEIJING, Oct. 5 (Yonhap) — China expressed concerns Saturday about a move by Japan to modernize its defense alliance with the United States, saying Washington and Tokyo should not extend their alliance beyond the bilateral scope.
The Chinese foreign ministry, in a faxed statement to Yonhap News Agency, made the remarks two days after the U.S. and Japan agreed to expand their military alliance and boost surveillance in the region amid North Korean nuclear threats and China’s rising military clout.
“The Japan-U.S. alliance, formed as a bilateral arrangement under certain historical context, should not move beyond the scope of the two countries,” the Chinese ministry said in the statement.
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