The Rendon Group Snapshot Report – 30 November 2015

by TRG Alerts Admin on December 7, 2015

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Each week The Rendon Group’s media analysts will focus on a different continent and a different issue affecting that continent. As always, we remain available to answer any questions you may have and to provide additional information upon request. For more information regarding The Rendon Group’s products and services, please contact us at Alert@Rendon.com or +1-202-745-4900.


Philippines Presents Maritime Claims to the Hague


United Nations Arbitral Tribunal Hague Philippines vs China maritime dispute West Philippines Sea South China Sea. Photo: Permanent Court of Arbitration


This week’s snapshot focuses on the second round of the Philippines’ request for the Hague-based Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) to recognize the Phillippines’ right to exploit waters in the disputed South China Sea. Last month, in a defeat for Beijing, the PCA dismissed China’s legal arguments and ruled that it has authority to hear the Philippines’ case. China’s state news agency Xinhua issued a warning that Philippine-China relations have been “sinking to a historic low.” The hearing that began on 23NOV comes as China steps up its divisive program of building airstrips and defenses on reclaimed land in the South China Sea. As well as the Philippines, Taiwan, Malaysia, Vietnam and Brunei all dispute sovereignty over the mid-ocean outcrops. The PCA expects to hand down a decision next year on several issues raised by the Philippines, including the validity of China’s sweeping territorial claims under the 1982 United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea.


News summary of events during the week of 23NOV15 – 30NOV15


  • 23NOV: One day after the ASEAN Summit convened, operations began for the week-long hearing. (Guardian)

  • 24NOV: Lawyers appeared at the Permanent Court of Arbitration, asking it to acknowledge the Philippines’ right to areas within 200 nautical miles of its coastline, under the terms of a UN convention. (Reuters)

  • 24NOV: The Permanent Court of Arbitration “commenced the hearing on the merits and remaining issues of jurisdiction and admissibility,” the Hague-based tribunal said in a statement. (AFP)

  • 24NOV: Beijing commissioned its Army’s largest support vessel, the nearly 3,000 grt GY820, to provide supply shipments to its claim at Woody Island in the Paracels. (Maritime Executive)

  • 25NOV: On day two, the Philippines argued that China has robbed the Southeast Asian country of its right to fish in the disputed West Philippine Sea (South China Sea). (Rappler)

  • 25NOV: International law professor Philippe Sands of University College London argued that Mischief Reef, Second Thomas Shoal, Subi Reef, Mckennan Reef and Gaven Reef are all low tide elevations under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) and as such, are not entitled to its own territorial sea, exclusive economic zone or continental shelf. (CNN)

  • 25NOV: Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Hong Lei repeatedly said the Philippine’s action is “unilateral” and it is not an effort to “resolve a dispute, but is an attempt to negate China’s territorial sovereignty, and maritime rights and interests.” (Kyodo)

  • 26NOV: On day three, marine law and environmental experts argued for the Philippines’ case, including Professor Kent Carpenter, a member of Department of Biological Sciences at Old Dominion University in Virginia. (CNN)

  • 28NOV: The Philippines took delivery of two Korean-made fighter jets — the country’s first supersonic combat aircraft in a decade — as it strengthens its underfunded military amid the escalating territorial feud with China. (NYT)

  • 30NOV: The Philippines  wrapped up a week of arguments before judges in its case against China, and the Philippines’ deputy presidential spokeswoman Abigail Valte was quoted as saying “we have a good case and we are hoping that after this round we will be able to secure a decision from the tribunal in about six months’ time.” (Reuters)


Sample of Twitter handles tweeting about Philippines Presenting Maritime Claims to the Hague


  • @VOAStevenson: Jim Stevenson, VOA broadcast reporter

  • @peter_dutton: Peter Dutton, Director, China Maritime Studies Institute, US Naval War College.

  • @JamesKraska: James Kraska, Howard S. Levie Professor

  • @Cold_Peace_: Jeff M. Smith, Director of Asian Security Programs, American Foreign Policy Council.

  • @Trefor1: Trefor Moss; Reporter for The Wall Street Journal, based in Manila


Sample of Third Party Validators regarding Philippines Presenting Maritime Claims to the Hague


Jay Batongbacal, U.S.-ASEAN Fulbright Initiative Visiting Scholar in Washington, Associate professor at the University of the Philippines College of Law, Director of the University’s Institute for Maritime Affairs and Law of the Sea

“…the jurisdictional decision already stands to benefit other states, regardless of the case’s final outcome. China’s “nine-dash line” claim to most of the South China Sea may now be legally discussed, explained, and evaluated by the tribunal based on the cumulative uncoordinated statements and explanations of Chinese officials and academics, but without their direct participation. Internationally, this could seriously undermine China’s influence over South China Sea stakeholders; domestically, it could challenge the credibility of its leadership.”

  • ‘Implications of the Philippines vs China Award on Jurisdiction,’ CSIS, 05NOV15


Zhu Feng, Executive Director, China Center for Collaborative Studies of the South China Sea, Nanjing University

“I hope Beijing could become more active in participating in all forums and respond to the international ruling at the tribunal.”

  • ‘In Victory for Philippines, Hague Court to Hear Dispute Over South China Sea,’ NYT, 30OCT15


Bonnie Glaser, South China Sea expert, Centre for Strategic and International Studies

“The PCA’s ruling to hear the case is] a major blow for China given that the opinion explicitly rejects China’s arguments that… the Philippines has not done enough to negotiate the issues with China.”

  • ‘South China Sea: Hague arbitration court to hear Philippines territorial complaints against Beijing,’ Reuters, 29OCT15


James Kraska, Howard S. Levie Professor of International Law at the Stockton Center for the Study of International Law, U.S. Naval War College and Distinguished Fellow, Law of the Sea Institute, University of California at Berkeley School of Law

“The merits decision will not decide which states ultimately have sovereignty over any of the disputed features, but the tribunal’s decision on the merits likely will recognize that the small reefs and islands at issue are entitled to either no or perhaps very small maritime zones.”

  • ‘A Legal Analysis of the Philippine-China Arbitration Ruling,’ The Diplomat, 02NOV15


Euan Graham, director of international security at the Sydney-based Lowy Institute

[He said that] having the two new jets is “a start” toward building the minimum defense stance. He said it shows China that the Philippines is “finally” taking its “external defense seriously. And in that broader calibration it will lend credence not just to the Philippines but also to the Philippines defense relations with its ally the United States and its growing relationship with other Southeast Asian countries including Vietnam.”

  • ‘Philippines Gets 2 New Fighter Jets Amid S. China Sea Tensions,’ VOA, 28NOV15

 

 

Sample of open source research conducted by TRG analysts related to Philippines Presenting Maritime Claims to the Hague


1. Philippine leader says ‘world is watching’ China in sea row


Media: Agence France-Presse (AFP)

Byline: N/A

Date: 22 November 2015


Kuala Lumpur, Nov 22, 2015 (AFP) – Philippine President Benigno Aquino told an Asia-Pacific summit on Sunday that “the world is watching” whether China would behave as a responsible power in the simmering standoff over maritime territory.


Aquino kept up a drumbeat of growing criticism of China’s expansion of tiny atolls into fully-fledged islands, as leaders including Chinese Premier Li Keqiang met in Malaysia.


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2. Philippines takes South China Sea claim to Hague court


Media: Reuters

Byline: Thomas Escritt

Date: 24 November 2015


AMSTERDAM (Reuters) – Lawyers for the Philippines will appear before a panel of international judges in The Hague on Tuesday, seeking a ruling that could bolster territorial claims by a series of countries against China in the resource-rich South China Sea.


The Philippines is asking the Permanent Court of Arbitration to recognize its right to exploit waters within 200 nautical miles of its coastline, under the terms of a U.N. convention.


China, which claims economic and territorial rights in almost the entire body of water, has boycotted the proceedings and rejects the court’s authority in the case.


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3. China harsh on Philippines’ territorial row arbitration case


Media: Kyodo (Japan)

Byline: N/A

Date: 25 November 2015


China on Wednesday harshly criticized the Philippines’ case against it at an arbitration tribunal over rival claims in the South China Sea, calling the process a “political provocation.”


A day after a court in the Netherlands began hearing the case, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Hong Lei repeatedly said the Philippine’s action is “unilateral” and it is not an effort to “resolve a dispute, but is an attempt to negate China’s territorial sovereignty, and maritime rights and interests.”


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4. Philippines welcomes fighter jets from South Korea


Media: Deutsche Presse-Agentur (DPA)

Byline: N/A

Date: 28 November 2015


Manila (dpa) – Philippines defence officials cheered as the first two of 12 fighter jets purchased from South Korea touched down at an airport outside the capital Saturday.


The Philippine air force has not had fighter jets for a decade, but the government has been building up the military’s capability amid increasing tensions with Beijing over territorial disputes in the South China Sea.


“We’re glad we’re finally back to supersonic age,” Defence Secretary Voltaire Gazmin said.


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5. The Hague hearings: PH tackles China’s claims over disputed areas


Media: CNN

Byline: N/A

Date: 26 November 2015


Metro Manila (CNN Philippines) — The Philippine delegation to the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague on Wednesday (November 25) strengthened its claims against China over a territorial dispute in the South China Sea.


Deputy Presidential Spokesperson Abigail Valte told CNN Philippines that that team focused on China’s aggressive claims in the disputed waters as the court’s Arbitral Tribunal heard the merits of the case for the second day.


International law professor Philippe Sands of University College London argued that Mischief Reef, Second Thomas Shoal, Subi Reef, Mckennan Reef and Gaven Reef are all low tide elevations under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) and as such, are not entitled to its own territorial sea, exclusive economic zone or continental shelf.


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