The Rendon Group Snapshot Report: 21 October 2013

by TRG Alerts Admin on October 21, 2013

 

 

The Rendon Group Snapshot Report

(21OCT13)

Each week The Rendon Group’s media analysts will focus on a different continent and a different issue affecting that continent. As always, we remain available to answer any questions you may have and to provide additional information upon request. For more information regarding The Rendon Group’s products and services, please contact us at Alert@Rendon.com or +1-202-745-4900.

 

Ukraine Likely to Permit Former PM Yulia Tymoshenko to Seek Medical Treatment Abroad


Yulia Tymoshenko, the former Prime Minister of Ukraine from 2007-2010, may soon be allowed to go abroad to seek medical treatment for severe back pain.  Tymoshenko has been imprisoned since 2011 by her political rival, President Viktor Yanukovych, on charges of abuse of office while in power.  She was allegedly beaten unconscious by prison guards and went on a hunger strike in 2012.  Up until now, Tymoshenko has been reluctant to leave Ukraine, while Yanukovych has refused to issue a pardon. Tymoshenko’s imprisonment has hampered Ukraine’s efforts to form closer economic and political ties with the European Union.

 

News Summary of events relating to Former PM Tymoshenko during week of 14OCT-21OCT:

  • On 15OCT, human rights activist Eduard Bahirov said that Ukrainian President Yanukovych may pardon former PM Tymoshenko within three days. (Interfax)
  • On15OCT, EU Enlargement Commissioner Fuele said he was confident that Tymoshenko would be released soon. (AFP)
  • On15OCT, Ukrainian Justice Minister Lukash said that President Yanukovych has no legal grounds to pardon Tymoshenko. (Interfax)
  • On16OCT, US ambassador to the Ukraine Pyatt and EU ambassador to the Ukraine Tombinski met with Tymoshenko to discuss the signing of an Association Agreement with the EU. (Interfax)
  • On 17OCT, President Yanukovych said he was ready to sign a bill authorizing Tymoshenko to travel abroad for medical treatment. (CNN)
  • As of 17OCT, the European parliament’s monitoring mission still does not have proposals to resolve the Tymoshenko issue, according to an anonymous source on the panel. (Interfax)
  • On 18OCT, a lawmaker in President Yanukovych’s party submitted a bill to parliament that could allow Tymoshenko to go abroad for treatment. (AFP)

 

Sample of Twitter handles regarding developments over Former PM Tymoshenko:

@p_pieniazek: Paweł Pieniążek, a Polish journalist covering Ukraine and Russia

@OShumyloTapiola: Olga Shumylo-Tapiola, a non-resident scholar at Carnegie Europe, focused on Eastern Europe

@KuzhelUA: Oleksandr Kuzhel, a community activist in Kiev

@JustHovensGreve: Freelance journalist focused on Ukraine & the Caucasus

 

Sample of Third Party Validators regarding developments with Former PM Tymoshenko:

Olexiy Haran, Professor, Kyiv Mohyla University

“”Yanukovych does not want to pardon Tymoshenko,”…” “The maximum he is ready for is to send her abroad for treatment so that formally she would remain a convict.” – Ukraine leader ready to let ailing Tymoshenko go abroad, AFP, 17OCT13

Andrew Wilson, Senior Policy Fellow, European Council on Foreign Relations

“The ease with which authorities launched political prosecutions in 2011 and 2012—most prominently against Tymoshenko—showed [Ukraine’s] new [legal] system’s weakness.” – Ukraine

Political and Economic Lessons From Democratic Transitions, Pathways to Freedom, 18JUN13

Steven Pifer, Director, Arms Control Initiative, The Brookings Institution

“EU member states are not of one mind on Tymoshenko, which may have given Yanukovych hope that he need do nothing. But most EU states—including heavy-weights Germany and France—reportedly insist on some action.” Ukraine: Yanukovych, Tymoshenko and Europe—Again, Up Front, 10JUN13

Matthew Rojansky, Deputy Director, Russia & Eurasia, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

Tymoshenko’s supporters and allies dominate the main opposition political bloc, so she is the natural candidate to oppose Yanukovich in the next presidential election, scheduled for 2015.” – Will Ukraine Seize its EU Chance? 12APR13

 

Sample of open source research by TRG analysts related to Former PM Tymoshenko:

1. Human rights activist: Yanukovych may sign decree pardoning Tymoshenko within three days

Media: Interfax (Russia)

Byline: N/A

Date: 15 October 2013

Kyiv, October 15 (Interfax-Ukraine) – Human rights activist Eduard Bahirov has said that Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych may sign a decree pardoning former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko within three days.

“I can say that Yulia Tymoshenko could be freed within 72 hours. There are all of the legal mechanisms and legitimate grounds for that,” he said at a press conference on Monday.

He said that the Constitution of Ukraine defines the powers of the country’s president, among which is his right to pardon people in Ukraine.

Continue reading: http://www.kyivpost.com/content/ukraine/human-rights-activist-yanukovych-may-sign-decree-pardoning-tymoshenko-within-three-days-330523.html

END

 

2. EU confident of Tymoshenko release soon

Media: Agence France-Presse (AFP)

Byline: N/A

Date: 15 October 2013

BRUSSELS, Oct 15, 2013 (AFP) – The EU’s Enlargement Commissioner Stefan Fuele on Tuesday said he was confident of seeing jailed ex Ukraine premier Yulia Tymoshenko released in the coming weeks.

“We are not far away from Tymoshenko being released for treatment in Germany,” Fuele said at a briefing. “It won’t be next week, but it will be made before the Vilnius summit.”

He was referring to the Eastern Partnership summit scheduled in the Lithuanian capital end November during which the European Union hopes to strengthen ties with six eastern European states, including Ukraine.

Continue reading: http://au.news.yahoo.com/world/a/19411257/eu-confident-of-tymoshenko-release/

END

 

3. Yanukovych has no legal grounds to pardon Tymoshenko – Ukrainian justice minister

Media: Interfax (Russia)

Byline: N/A

Date: 15 October 2013

KYIV. Oct 15 (Interfax) – Ukrainian Justice Minister Olena Lukash sees no legal grounds for President Viktor Yanukovych to sign a decree pardoning former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko.

“At the present time, the president of Ukraine has no legal grounds for signing a pardon decree. This is my personal opinion,” Lukash said at a press conference in Kyiv on Tuesday.

“This is not within the president’s purview today, and if this issue can be considered, then only given certain preconditions,” she said.

Continue reading: http://www.kyivpost.com/content/politics/justice-ministry-ukrainian-president-currently-has-no-legal-grounds-to-pardon-tymoshenko-330529.html

END

 

4. Ukraine may allow jailed Yulia Tymoshenko to leave for medical care

Media: CNN

Byline: N/A

Date: 15 October 2013

Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych would sign a law that would allow imprisoned opposition leader Yulia Tymoshenko to leave the country for medical treatment if Parliament passes such a measure, he said Thursday.

The comment on the president’s official website confirmed a second-hand account of his position given earlier by Tymoshenko’s spokeswoman, Natalia Lysova, who said the president is ready to let the jailed former prime minister to go abroad for medical treatment.

In separate remarks to reporters in the eastern city of Svetlodarsk in the Donetsk region, Yanukovych added that Parliament is preparing a law to help Tymoshenko’s medical situation.

Continue Reading: http://www.cnn.com/2013/10/17/world/europe/ukraine-tymoshenko/

END

 

5.  Europe has no recipe to resolve Tymoshenko issue, possible options being worked out

Media: Interfax (Russia)

Byline: N/A

Date: 17 October 2013

Brussels, October 17 (Interfax-Ukraine) – The European Parliament’s monitoring mission of Pat Cox and Aleksander Kwasniewski still does not have any proposals to resolve the issue of former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko, whereas a statement made by MEP Marek Siwiec about a $200 million fine and other proposals are only the options for a possible way out of the situation.

Such an outcome of a closed meeting of the European Parliament’s Committee on Foreign Affairs, at which Cox and Kwasniewski spoke about the work done, was disclosed to Interfax-Ukraine on the condition of anonymity by its participants.

Continue reading: http://www.kyivpost.com/content/ukraine/europe-has-no-recipe-to-resolve-tymoshenko-issue-possible-options-being-worked-out-330627.html

END

 

6. Tymoshenko exit bill submitted to Ukraine parliament

Media: Agence France-Presse (AFP)
Byline: N/A
Date: 18 October 2013

KIEV, Oct 18, 2013 (AFP) – A Ukrainian lawmaker with President Viktor Yanukovych’s ruling party has submitted to parliament a bill which could allow jailed former premier Yulia Tymoshenko to go abroad for medical treatment, the parliament’s register showed Friday.

The release of Tymoshenko, who is serving a seven year sentence for abuse of power while in office, is seen as a key condition for Ukraine to sign an Association Agreement with the European Union at a summit in November.

Mykola Rudkovskyi of the ruling Regions Party submitted the bill for amendments to Ukraine’s criminal code on the legal regulation of allowing convicts to go abroad for treatment.

Continue reading: http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/world/tymoshenko-s-exit-bill/852856.html

 

END

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