The Rendon Group Snapshot Report – 14 September 2015

by TRG Alerts Admin on September 21, 2015

The Rendon Group Snapshot Report

(14SEP15)

Each week The Rendon Group’s media analysts will focus on a different continent and a different issue affecting that continent. As always, we remain available to answer any questions you may have and to provide additional information upon request. For more information regarding The Rendon Group’s products and services, please contact us at Alert@Rendon.com or +1-202-745-4900.

Northern Ireland’s Stormont Crisis

 

Northern Ireland First Minister and head of Northern Ireland’s power-sharing government Peter Robinson resigned after his request to halt all activity in the Northern Ireland Assembly, the region’s power-sharing legislature, was denied. (WSJ)

 

 

This week’s snapshot focuses on Northern Ireland’s Stormont Crisis. After a senior member of Ireland’s nationalistic Sinn Fein party was arrested in connection with the murder of a former Irish Republican Army member, Northern Ireland’s First Minister Robinson resigned after his request to suspend the Northern Ireland Assembly was denied.

 

News summary of events during the week of 08SEP15 – 14SEP15

  • 07SEP: Foreign Minister Flanagan said Ireland benefits from Britain’s membership in the European Union, and withdrawing from the EU would be detrimental to the Irish peace process. (Guardian)
  • 09SEP: Prime Minister Cameron urged Northern Ireland political parties to stick to the “noble principles” of the power-sharing agreement. (DPA)
  • 09SEP: A senior member of Ireland’s nationalistic Sinn Fein party was arrested in connection with the murder of a former Irish Republican Army member. (NYT)
  • 09SEP: Northern Ireland’s First Minister Robinson said he and other ministers from the pro-British Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) will resign unless the Northern Ireland Assembly is not suspended. (AFP)
  • 09SEP: Robinson resigned after his request to suspend the Northern Ireland Assembly was denied and be replaced by DUP colleague Arlene Foster. (NYT)
  • 11SEP: Britain called on all sides to engage in cross-party talks and supported creating an independent body to disband paramilitary organizations. (Reuters)

 

Sample of Twitter handles regarding Northern Ireland’s Stormont Crisis

  • @ChrisPageTV – Chris Page, Northern Ireland Political Correspondent for BBC
  • @Markdevenport – Mark Devenport, Northern Ireland Political Editor for BBC
  • @SJAMcBride – Sam McBride, political correspondent for News Letter
  • @BBCMarkSimpson – Mark Simpson, TV reporter for BBC News

 

Sample of Third Party Validators regarding Northern Ireland’s Stormont Crisis

Guy Lodge, associate director at the Institute for Public Policy Research

“Power-sharing now hangs by a thread,” says. “The best hope for a deal rests on the fact that a vast majority of people in both communities are opposed to a return to violence. And all parties ultimately prefer the devolution to a return to direct rule from London. Recent history suggests that talks between the two sides can break the deadlock – though this time trust is at an all-time low creating a very uncertain future.”

All communities reject a return to violence in Northern Ireland, DW, 11SEP15

 

Gareth Russell, Belfast-based author

“The politicians at Stormont, in nearly every party, are performing a play that lost its audience long ago. It is hard to find anyone in Belfast who really cares about them, one way or the other. I would like to see a new set of political parties that campaign on issues and find a place on the political spectrum – conservative, socialist, liberal – rather than the current parties, many of whom rely on votes based purely on their constitutional position. Like many people, I would like to stop regarding the executive as a distasteful political sideshow.”

All communities reject a return to violence in Northern Ireland, DW, 11SEP15

 

Conor O’Brien, Belfast-based lawyer

“I don’t think we will see a return to violence – Northern Ireland has come a long way in the last 18 years. Most communities are opposed to more violence, even those who support the republican cause. But of course we are always concerned to an extent about a return to the bad old days of neighbors turning on neighbors. We have a fragile peace so this is a very frightening thing.”

All communities reject a return to violence in Northern Ireland, DW, 11SEP15

 

Sam McBride, political correspondent for the “News Letter” daily in Northern Ireland

“I think the catalyst for the current problem has been the murder of Kevin McGuigan about a month ago, but really that was the straw that broke the camel’s back rather than the source of the problem. It’s true that probably the entire Stormont that we’ve had since 2007 has been fairly unstable, in the sense that it’s always one crisis away from collapsing.”

Northern Ireland’s government teeters, as First Minister Robinson resigns, DW, 10SEP15

Dr Paul Dixon, an expert in Northern Ireland’s peace process, Kingston University London

“It’s those kind of marginalised elements that might come a bit more to the fore in a situation where there isn’t this devolution of power. There are people there who think ‘well, we wouldn’t mind going back to war and this time we might win it’. Fortunately, the political community has been pretty much united in marginalising those people but they can’t ignore them. Republicans will be going, we’ve just got Brit rule from London, what’s in it for us?’ That’s not good.”

Why Northern Ireland’s Government Has Been Brought To Its Knees By A Single Murder, Huffington Post UK, 11SEP15

 

Sample of open source research conducted by TRG analysts related to Northern Ireland’s Stormont Crisis

 

  1. ‘Brexit’ would harm peace in North, warns Irish foreign minister

 

Media: The Guardian (UK)

Byline: N/A

Date: 07 September 2015

 

A British exit from the European Union would be bad for Ireland and the Irish peace process, the republic’s foreign minister has warned.

 

Charles Flanagan said on Monday that the UK remaining inside the EU was vital to Irish interests.

 

Staying in Europe would maintain the close nature of Anglo-Irish relations, Flanagan said.

 

In a speech in London, Flanagan said: “We want the UK in the EU because our union is stronger on account of Britain’s presence. Because Ireland and our society, businesses and citizens benefit from the UK’s membership. And because it reinforces and enriches the remarkably deep bond between our two countries and peoples.”

 

Continue Reading

 

END

 

2. Cameron urges Northern Ireland parties to save power-sharing deal

 

Media: Deutsche Presse-Agentur (DPA)

Byline: N/A

Date: 09 September 2015

 

London (dpa) – British Prime Minister David Cameron on Wednesday appealed to political parties in Northern Ireland to stick to the “noble principles” of a power-sharing agreement and resolve a crisis that threatens to undermine the deal.

 

The crisis worsened on Wednesday after police said a well-known member of Irish nationalist party Sinn Fein was among three Irish Republic Army-linked suspects detained in connection with last month’s murder of Kevin McGuigan, a former IRA hitman.

 

Continue Reading

 

END

 

  1. Senior Sinn Fein Member Arrested in Northern Ireland Murder

 

Media: New York Times

Byline: DOUGLAS DALBY

Date: 09 September 2015

 

DUBLIN — Bobby Storey, a senior member of the Irish nationalist political party Sinn Fein, was arrested on Wednesday in Northern Ireland in connection with the murder of a former Irish Republican Army member last month, the police said. The arrest threatens to further upset the fragile power-sharing provincial government in Northern Ireland.

 

Mr. Storey, a former I.R.A. commander, was one of three men arrested in the killing of the former I.R.A. member Kevin McGuigan, 53, a father of nine who was shot outside his home in Belfast on Aug. 12. Mr. Storey is the 16th person arrested in connection with the killing, which the police have said they believe was an act of revenge for the assassination of Gerard (Jock) Davison, reportedly a onetime Belfast commander of the I.R.A., in May.

 

Continue Reading

 

END

 

  1. N. Ireland gov’t on brink of collapse over IRA row

 

Media: Agence France-Presse (AFP)

Byline: N/A

Date: 09 September 2015

 

London, Sept 9, 2015 (AFP) – Northern Ireland’s government looked in danger of falling apart Wednesday as a political row over alleged Irish Republican Army (IRA) activity reached crisis point.

 

First Minister Peter Robinson said he and fellow ministers from the pro-British Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) would resign unless the Northern Ireland Assembly is suspended following a meeting Thursday.

 

His comments came after a senior figure in Sinn Fein, which governs alongside the DUP and wants Northern Ireland to become part of Ireland, was arrested in connection with the shooting of a former IRA gunman last month.

 

Continue Reading

 

END

 

 

Comments on this entry are closed.